A Glance in the Rear View Mirror In March of 2013, I penned my 14th edition of kortsessions.com, “Buy, sell or Fold?”. We had just broken definitely above the previous record high ( March 2000, s&P 500, 1550). The actual record high did occur in October 2007 (1576) but it was a very short-lived move…
Tag: CNBC
“Don’t celebrate the Dow record too much” or doubling down on a bad call
The bad call was the header of my last week’s post, “The wrong kind of stocks are leading the stock market to records.” What kind of stocks might those have been? They were defensive stocks … healthcare, utilities, REITs. Why was this bad? It was a sign the smart money was fearful. And that’s not…
A Lethal Combo: PMI at a 10-year low + Slowing Job Growth — NOT!
Flash! Dow looses 800 points in 2 Days Here we go again, more selling based on market news items reported without contextual backup. Purchasing Manager’s Index (PMI) for September Worst in a Decade 50.2% was the expected reading. 47.8% was the actual number. Any reading below 50 is considered to be indicative of a slowing…
Impeachment: Precursor and Aftermath
Introduction In this discussion the potential market impact of the run-up to an impeachment proceeding and the impact of an impeachment trial and removal from office of president Trump, I will do my best to keep it apolitical and factual. I will be speculating about possible outcomes and their impact on the market and the economy. I…
Friday’s Down Market: Nothing to see here folks
Headline: “Dow falls for second day, drops more than 100 points after China officials cut US visit short” (CNBC –Friday Sept. 20, 2019, 4:56 PM EDT) This was CNBC’s effort at a excuse or explanation for a softening market at the close last Friday. Generally speaking the market does soften as it goes into the…
Breaking Radio Silence …
Actually, I’m breaking internet silence. “Radio” just sounds much more dramatic … like risking blowing a top secret mission. What I try to do with kortsessions is to blow someone else’s secret missions … to give facts and perspective. That “someone else” is the media, and their covert mission, as it pertains to market news,…
“Bond markets are sending one big global recession warning“
You have to be kidding me! This headline from CNBC greeted me this morning and appears to give us a significant reason for the Dow Jones, S&P and NASDAQ indices suffering a sharp decline today. It is just one more instance of media hype on two non-sure-things … a recession is imminent and that a…
“Ladies and gentlemen we have a ‘Black Swan'” — Revisited
Election 2016 a major negative surprise for investors? Initially, I thought it would be. Early the morning of the day after I posted, Ladies and gentlemen we have a Black Swan (11/9/2016). I mean based on the polling, which turned out to be dead wrong, there looked to be little chance that we’d ever see…
Beware the June Jobs Report!–A counterpoint
Why? Because the ADP private payrolls report, issued Wednesday July, 3 missed analysts’ expectations, coming in at a meager 102,000 new private sector jobs being created in June. This sets the stage for a miss on the government jobs report due tomorrow and in the eyes of most media savants and pundits this signals a…
“The president is the Yankees and Powell is the Toledo Mud Hens.”
Thus spake Jim Cramer … Wednesday morning June 19. Previously in the “Squawk on the Street” segment he opined, “Powell is living in a conventional world,” not the World of Trump. Powell’s conventional world is a place where you try to get the near-impossible (monetary policy) right. It is a world that involves meticulously working…