— No question … The market is overextended — Well known investor sentiment surveys are flashing red — Calls for caution become routine — How should you react? — Best advice … maintain the long view … the secular bull continues The market is over extended There is no question about this. During the month…
Tag: interest rates
Interest rates are going thru the ceiling!–the next “BIG THING” to worry about
Humankind is a species that feeds on negative news aided by the media that knows how to feed that need The market appears willing to ignore really bad news on the virus front … an obsession on the way out The next big thing may be rising interest rates which will go hand in hand…
The crisis abates … Yeah, Right!
The Ecstasy, The Agony and Back It is hard to believe that only fifty days have passed since the S&P 500 posted a record high of 3393.52. As of this past Thursday the index closed at 2789.82, down 18% on the year and up 28% from its March 23, low of 2191.86. Needless to say,…
“Buy, Sell or Fold” — A market history and MLP retrospective
A Glance in the Rear View Mirror In March of 2013, I penned my 14th edition of kortsessions.com, “Buy, sell or Fold?”. We had just broken definitely above the previous record high ( March 2000, s&P 500, 1550). The actual record high did occur in October 2007 (1576) but it was a very short-lived move…
“THE WRONG KIND OF STOCKS ARE LEADING THE STOCK MARKET TO RECORDS”
You cannot make this stuff up! Thus spake Mike Wilson, Morgan Stanley’s U.S. chief equity strategists. The “wrong kind of stocks” in Wilson’s mind are defensive … names like Pfizer, Merck and HCA. This is all happening while the faster growth leadership names like Amazon and Alphabet (GOOG) have been lagging. To Wilson this means…
Breaking Radio Silence …
Actually, I’m breaking internet silence. “Radio” just sounds much more dramatic … like risking blowing a top secret mission. What I try to do with kortsessions is to blow someone else’s secret missions … to give facts and perspective. That “someone else” is the media, and their covert mission, as it pertains to market news,…
“Bond markets are sending one big global recession warning“
You have to be kidding me! This headline from CNBC greeted me this morning and appears to give us a significant reason for the Dow Jones, S&P and NASDAQ indices suffering a sharp decline today. It is just one more instance of media hype on two non-sure-things … a recession is imminent and that a…
“Ladies and gentlemen we have a ‘Black Swan'” — Revisited
Election 2016 a major negative surprise for investors? Initially, I thought it would be. Early the morning of the day after I posted, Ladies and gentlemen we have a Black Swan (11/9/2016). I mean based on the polling, which turned out to be dead wrong, there looked to be little chance that we’d ever see…
Presidential trade pronouncements, a real concern or a tap on the brakes?
— First and foremost, this is not meant to be a political opinion piece. — It is meant to be a discussion of my views on recent market action and what appear to be some interesting patterns (coincidences) that I have observed in tandem with the May, 2019, record high and the July 26, 2019…
Beware the June Jobs Report!–A counterpoint
Why? Because the ADP private payrolls report, issued Wednesday July, 3 missed analysts’ expectations, coming in at a meager 102,000 new private sector jobs being created in June. This sets the stage for a miss on the government jobs report due tomorrow and in the eyes of most media savants and pundits this signals a…