— August CPI, due 9/13/23 becomes another focal point / the inflection point du jour. — A look back on US rate structure gives perspective (higher for longer?) — Still very constructive on the market with caveats on sector and valuation For the market every day is Groundhog Day Wouldn’t you like to wake up…
Tag: China
China Contagion, Powell’s Speech and Nvidia — Make or Break Moments For The Market?
— Chinese economic softening gaining prominence as a reason for caution (maybe fear) — “Nvidia Beats Big, and Powell Doesn’t Rock the Boat. Why That’s Ominous for Stocks.” — Fear, distrust and skepticism — The key ingredients China Contagion — plus What About Taiwan? Chinese GDP growth in the first half of 2023 was 6.3% (year-over-year). In 2022,…
Growth and Innovation: The Bloom Is off The Rose
— When you see the carnage in growth/tech/inovation it is easy to jump to wrong conclusions – DON’T! — The ARKK fund becomes the poster child for the unwinding of the bifurcated market — The negatives that face the market … the economy, Covid Omicron, the Fed, Inflation, Russia and China … Are they insurmountable? — Growth vs. Value. The…
The Death of Oil
Energy stocks have taken a beating the last few weeks Concerns about a worldwide resurgence of Covid 19 have raised the specter of declining economic activity and the negative potential impact on oil demand Longer-term two news items last month, one from the governor of California and one from China, probably pushed the sentiment surrounding…
Nothing inspires confidence like an emergency Fed funds rate cut
— During the entire panic on the downside you had to ask ‘are things really that bad out there?’ — One also has to ask how does a cut of 50 basis points on the Fed funds rate positively impact the trajectory the COVID19 epidemic. — Fortunately, the answer may be ‘no’ to bullet number…
Coronavirus continues its reign of terror
— COVID-2019 fears continue to dominate the market. — It is very hard to square the terror that surfaced Friday in bonds and gold with the evidence at hand. — Will coronavirus just be another obsession that falls by the wayside in the secular bull market? The S&P 500 is just 1.7% from a new…
“I’m done with fossil fuel” stocks
— When I see comments like this, especially from the likes of Jim Cramer (Squawk on the Street, 2/7/20), it gives me pause. — Cramer’s ‘big call’ history is more than a bit spotty. — Flawed as the much-heralded concept of ‘peak oil’ was back in 2008, writing the obituary for thefossil fuels industry may be a bit premature. When…
Markets and Media gird themselves to face a new challenge
2019’s big concerns evaporate Last week I attended an investment committee meeting for a small foundation for which, I serve as a board member. One of our members, a financial planner/ investment advisor, serves as a liaison to the street and his firm provides the committee with investment and economic commentary. His report led with…
Friday’s Down Market: Nothing to see here folks
Headline: “Dow falls for second day, drops more than 100 points after China officials cut US visit short” (CNBC –Friday Sept. 20, 2019, 4:56 PM EDT) This was CNBC’s effort at a excuse or explanation for a softening market at the close last Friday. Generally speaking the market does soften as it goes into the…
Pre-emptive Fed Strikes + Having It Both Ways
Dumb and Dumber Just when you thought media/pundit commentary on the market and the economy couldn’t get anymore inane and stupid, they surprise you by plumbing a new depth. This article from CNBC, “These charts show how Fed Chair Jerome Powell is the most important thing to the market now,” is a solid gold example. Of…