A Glance in the Rear View Mirror In March of 2013, I penned my 14th edition of kortsessions.com, “Buy, sell or Fold?”. We had just broken definitely above the previous record high ( March 2000, s&P 500, 1550). The actual record high did occur in October 2007 (1576) but it was a very short-lived move…
“Buy, Sell or Fold” — A market history and MLP retrospective
A Glance in the Rear View Mirror In March of 2013, I penned my 14th edition of kortsessions.com, “Buy, sell or Fold?”. We had just broken definitely above the previous record high ( March 2000, s&P 500, 1550). The actual record high did occur in October 2007 (1576) but it was a very short-lived move…
“Don’t celebrate the Dow record too much” or doubling down on a bad call
The bad call was the header of my last week’s post, “The wrong kind of stocks are leading the stock market to records.” What kind of stocks might those have been? They were defensive stocks … healthcare, utilities, REITs. Why was this bad? It was a sign the smart money was fearful. And that’s not…
“THE WRONG KIND OF STOCKS ARE LEADING THE STOCK MARKET TO RECORDS”
You cannot make this stuff up! Thus spake Mike Wilson, Morgan Stanley’s U.S. chief equity strategists. The “wrong kind of stocks” in Wilson’s mind are defensive … names like Pfizer, Merck and HCA. This is all happening while the faster growth leadership names like Amazon and Alphabet (GOOG) have been lagging. To Wilson this means…
“Walking a tightrope”
This was the title of Bloomberg’s “Weekend Reading” post, which captures and caters to the angst in the market place about the global economy and fear of the “R” word. I mean “walking the tightrope” did get my attention, so much so I used it for my title as I was attempting to gain your…
A Lethal Combo: PMI at a 10-year low + Slowing Job Growth — NOT!
Flash! Dow looses 800 points in 2 Days Here we go again, more selling based on market news items reported without contextual backup. Purchasing Manager’s Index (PMI) for September Worst in a Decade 50.2% was the expected reading. 47.8% was the actual number. Any reading below 50 is considered to be indicative of a slowing…
Impeachment: Precursor and Aftermath
Introduction In this discussion the potential market impact of the run-up to an impeachment proceeding and the impact of an impeachment trial and removal from office of president Trump, I will do my best to keep it apolitical and factual. I will be speculating about possible outcomes and their impact on the market and the economy. I…
Friday’s Down Market: Nothing to see here folks — Part II
The reason for Friday’s early departure by the Chinese trade delegation was, according to Treasury Secretary Mnuchin, a timing issue. It was a postponement requested by the US government. https://www.cnn.com/2019/09/23/politics/mnuchin-trump-china-trade-farmers/index.html It was not, as I had speculated, a desire on the part of the delegation to get back to China in a more timely fashion…
Friday’s Down Market: Nothing to see here folks
Headline: “Dow falls for second day, drops more than 100 points after China officials cut US visit short” (CNBC –Friday Sept. 20, 2019, 4:56 PM EDT) This was CNBC’s effort at a excuse or explanation for a softening market at the close last Friday. Generally speaking the market does soften as it goes into the…
Breaking Radio Silence …
Actually, I’m breaking internet silence. “Radio” just sounds much more dramatic … like risking blowing a top secret mission. What I try to do with kortsessions is to blow someone else’s secret missions … to give facts and perspective. That “someone else” is the media, and their covert mission, as it pertains to market news,…