— The gorilla, of course, is Fed policy and rising interest rates. — For certain segments of the market (Big Tech/The Innovators in particular) it rightly looms large. — For the rest of the market Wednesdays action was an exercise in ‘sawing sawdust’, reacting in a predictable way to old news. — The market sends a clear…
Tag: COVID-19
Return to the Covid playbook–E Unum Pluribus(?)
— Friday’s Market … A return to the Covid playbook … Sell economically sensitive, buy growth. — Pardon my untutored use of Latin: E Unum Pluribus … Out of One Many (may suffer). — Covid’s uptick in Europe maybe an excuse for a slight correction but not the end of a secular bull market …Buy…
What’s bugging’ this market? Record highs and no celebrations
— A series of new all-time index highs but no popping of corks — A flight to safety goes on under the surface–a 1.25% yield on the 10-year Treasury July 7, couple with a ‘risk off’ 7% drop in the Russell 2K since July 1 — Are we headed for an economic slow-down or recession? This question…
“The bond market agrees with the Federal Reserve — inflation is temporary” Huh!
— “Inflation has peaked.” — “The rate of growth has peaked at home and abroad, as well.” — “Investors of all stripes, foreign and domestic, are offsetting their exposure to equities by purchasing high quality Treasuries to provide ballast in their portfolios.” — “The spread of the Covid delta variant may slow global growth if…
The Death of TINA (There Is No Alternative)
Wait a minute! The reports of TINA’s demise may be greatly exaggerated. If the acronym TINA is not part of your daily vocabulary, I can understand. The concept of “there is no alternative” is a term some market savants have used to explain the market’s strength over the past few years. There is no alternative to…
Record Highs–Yet So Much Fear
The Fear of Being Bitten Again “Besides the last eleven months, there have only been five other streaks where the VIX remained elevated above 20 for at least six months.” …
The Market Floats In a Sea of Mines
“Damn the torpedo’s… Full speed” … ahead! I used this somewhat doctored quote from Union Rear Admiral David Farragut to title my final post of 2019. Back in the day (1864) the torpedoes Farragut was damning happened to be contact mines that were easily able to blow a ship out of the water. There were…
The Market: Being stalked by the bear
last week’s market a stunning reversal … maybe Tech: A pandemic winner The silver lining Sentiment falls off a cliff — from bad to worse and that’s good The secular bull market case continues intact A stunning reversal … really! The NASDAQ composite in six trading days closed down nearly 10%. This was accompanied by…
“If the ‘big Five’ Tech Stocks Falter, They’ll Take the Rest of the Stock Market down with Them”
Barron’s does it again Better yet I should say Barron’s columnist Randall Forsyth does it again. What a fetching headline. ‘If it bleeds it leads. Mr. Forsyth, have you no shame? The FAAMG stocks (Facebook, Apple, Amazon, Microsoft and Google — for some reason Netflix did not make the cut) had all the right stuff…
Stock Market at The Crossroads–Buy, Sell or Hold?
We are at a crossroads. The stock market has done (as usual) what most people did not expect. The S&P 500 gained back most of what it lost on the Covid crash, closing last Friday (5/8/20) only off a little more than 13% from its February 20, all-time-high (3393.52). This is after the index had…