— My title emanates from a year-end editorial header in a well-regarded financial magazine. — When all else fails to convey the gravity of the moment, invoke in the astrologer. — Warren Buffett commentary on gravity and rates worth considering — Bifurcation in reverse “Second verse same as the first or Wax on Wax off”…
Tag: wall Street
“The Market Is Not Cheap” … or Is It?
— Is the S&P 500 PE expensive? Maybe in a perspective-free environment the answer is ‘yes’. But I am not perspective-free. — In today’s media environment there are legions of market analysts who would say it is overvalued vs. historical the lows in the late ’70s and early ’80s where high rates and inflation pushed…
Perspective: The Key to The Market Vault!
— Perspective is the number one biggest shortcoming in the coverage of financial and market news. — I examine perspectives on inflation, rates and recessions. — Lack of perspective stems from two causes: The lack of (or willingness to dig for) historical comparisons or the omission of known facts that might soften the fearful impact of a headline….
Good news is bad news and bad news is good in today’s upside down market
Pundit #1: This market is headed for a disaster of biblical proportions. Investor: What do you mean, “biblical”? Pundit #2: What he means is Old Testament, Mr. Investor, real wrath of God type stuff. Pundit #1: Exactly. Pundit #2: Fire and brimstone coming down from the skies! Rivers and seas boiling! Pundit #3: Forty years of darkness! Earthquakes, volcanoes…
Friday, another day in the clueless market: What were you expecting Powell to say?
— It was a bit surprising to see the market rally into the Fed confab in Jackson Hole — Powell’s speech contained nothing that had not been said before and the “pain” that he is referring to is already being felt in certain inflated sectors. — Is a two percent long-rage inflation goal realistic /…
Has Warren Buffett Gone Mad?
— How could he be buying Occidental, an oil stock, amid a waterfall decline in the commodity? — Everybody knows the greening of the world spells doom for fossil fuels or does it? — Former oil company bad behavior changes in the fight for self-preservation. — My conclusions: Buffett is not mad. Why would Mr. Buffett buy a dirty, cyclical oil…
Trying to figure out this market?
–If this market has you confused or fearful, join the club –A look backward may help — The battle of the Covid19 ‘haves’ and ‘have nots’ plays out. — leaping to the right conclusions is essential … my post tries to clear the fog. This might help The following is a reprint of a post…
The Omicron Muddle: Opinion Versus Fact
— The market is being pummeled by a barrage of opinion on the Omicron variant of Covid 19. — There is a great divergence of opinion: the Moderna view vs. the Oxford view. — The facts that are available would seem to indicate that the market may be over-reacting on the downside. A barrage of divergent opinion on Covid…
September … the worst month for stocks … imminent corrections and other things that scare us
–Is September as bad for stocks as the media would have you believe? –Is a significant correction imminent, and does the “September effect” make it more likely? –The bifurcated market … the shoe may be moving to the other foot. September, bad for stocks? The truth will set you free. The freedom I’m referring to here is the…
The real “Doctor Doom” is back and he’s gloomy
Who is the real “Doctor Doom?” Why, it is none other than Henry Kaufman, former chief economist at Salomon Brothers, after a long repose out of the limelight. Not only is he back, but he is loaded for bear … he ” … Sees Danger in the Markets and Economy.” (you need WSJ or Barron’s…